Cognitive Strategy Studio
Research Library

Editorial Standard

Research Methodology

Industrial intelligence is only useful if you can tell what is verified fact, what is sourced consensus, and what is informed analysis. Every Darwin report is graded with a transparent, credit-rating-style system so you always know how much weight to place on a given claim.

Evidence classification (A–E)

Every source and claim is mapped to one of five evidence levels. A report's dominant level summarizes how much of its argument rests on primary evidence versus analytical inference.

A

Primary Evidence

Government publications, SEC filings, OEM publications, technical papers, standards, and regulatory filings.

B

Strong Secondary Evidence

Trade associations, industry databases, conference papers, and reputable trade publications.

C

Industry Estimate

Expert interviews, public market reports, analyst estimates, and internal modeling.

D

Analytical Assessment

IIOS synthesis, investment theses, inferred fragmentation, and opportunity scoring.

E

Conceptual / Hypothesis

Future material substitution, conceptual Darwin relevance, and unvalidated opportunity.

Statement-level labels

Within a report, individual sections and claims may carry an inline badge so the nature of a statement is never ambiguous.

Fact

Directly supported by primary or strong secondary sources.

Estimate

An industry estimate or modeled figure, not a verified data point.

Analysis

IIOS synthesis or interpretation built on the evidence.

Hypothesis

A forward-looking or conceptual proposition that is not yet validated.

Requires Validation

Flagged as needing independent source validation before it can be relied upon.

The 11-dimension scorecard

Every report carries a Research Integrity scorecard. A single overall confidence star rating sits above six category dimensions scored 1–5, plus three coverage and proprietary-value percentages — so you can see where confidence is strong and where it is thin. Technical and structural claims are often well-sourced even when company and market intelligence are not, while our proprietary analysis and original thinking score consistently high.

Overall confidence (1–5 stars)

A summary rating reflecting how much weight a decision-maker can place on the report as a whole, from Conceptual (1) to Validated Research (5).

Six category dimensions (scored 1–5)

Technical Accuracy

Engineering, scientific, and manufacturing correctness, material accuracy, and system architecture.

Industrial Structure

Accuracy of the supply chain, manufacturing flow, industry organization, and tier relationships.

Company Intelligence

Validated companies, ownership, capabilities, customer mapping, revenue, facilities, and investment history.

Market Intelligence

Market sizing, growth, programs, government funding, industry trends, and demand forecasts.

Investment Analysis

Strength of the PE thesis, fragmentation analysis, roll-up opportunities, and strategic rationale.

Darwin Relevance

How accurately Darwin opportunities are represented — technical applicability, not commercial probability.

Three coverage & proprietary-value measures (0–100%)

Source coverage

The percent of factual statements supported by identifiable sources — government publications, SEC filings, technical papers, company publications, conference papers, trade journals, and industry databases. Below 60% the report is flagged as an analyst draft.

Proprietary intelligence

The percent of the report supported by IIOS's own work — company classifications, supply-chain mapping, engineering tear-downs, industrial taxonomy, opportunity scoring, regional clustering, interview notes, conference intelligence, and knowledge-graph relationships. This metric represents proprietary IP.

Analytical originality

How much of the report represents original IIOS thinking — investment theses, industrial synthesis, fragmentation analysis, material-substitution analysis, cross-market relationships, and opportunity frameworks — rather than summarized public information. Most reports should score highly here.

Analysis type

How the report was predominantly produced, in descending verification order.

  • Verified Research

    Built predominantly on primary and strong secondary sources.

  • Analyst Synthesis

    Sourced framing combined with IIOS interpretation.

  • Investment Analysis

    A developed PE thesis built on the evidence, framing diligence rather than asserting fact.

  • Directional Assessment

    Estimates and modeling; conclusions are directional pending validation.

  • Conceptual Framework

    Outline-stage structure; analysis not yet authored.

Publication status

The editorial lifecycle state, from working draft to publication-ready.

  • Internal Draft

    Early working draft, not circulated.

  • Research Draft

    Authored but below the source-coverage publication threshold.

  • Source Reviewed

    Reviewed against sources; suitable for decision support with noted gaps.

  • Publication Ready

    Meets the full editorial and source-coverage standard.

  • Living Document

    Continuously updated as new sourcing and developments arrive.

The validation checklist

Every report is graded against the same eight-point checklist. The "Research Gaps & Validation Required" section on each report shows exactly which items have been independently confirmed and which still require validation — so nothing hides behind a confident tone.

  • Company-level source validation
  • Revenue / employee validation
  • Ownership validation
  • Supplier mapping validation
  • Market-size validation
  • Customer / program validation
  • Transaction history validation
  • Technical source validation

The draft threshold

Reports with source completeness below 60% carry a prominent analyst-draft warning. Their conclusions are directional and intended to frame diligence questions — not to be cited as settled fact. This keeps early-stage thinking useful without overstating its certainty.

Illustrative research for demonstration only. The grading framework is designed to make uncertainty explicit; it is not investment advice.